Retail operators appear most vulnerable to the economic downturn - and particularly non-food retailers, which are by nature more cyclical and less geographically diversified. The credit outlook for the food sector, on the other hand, is generally stable, with the packaged food companies such as Nestle and Unilever benefiting from diversified portfolios of staple products.
Trading remains favourable for the major tobacco players which should continue to report growing profits due to their ability to promote premium brands in markets where disposable income is rising, and raise prices in mature markets. The credit outlook for beer companies is stable due to improved geographical diversification and continuing growth in emerging markets, despite recent debt-funded consolidation in the industry.